4 Apr, 2019

Term Deposit Review – March 2019

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Apr 4, 2019|Deposits, Market Commentary|

Following a rebound in equity markets over the first two months of 2019, equity markets moderated throughout March as bond market headlines became the flavour of the month.  Meanwhile, ABS figures revealed deteriorating economic data as GDP grew at just 0.2% in the December quarter, which translated to an annualised rate of 2.3%.  This increased market expectations that the central [...]

21 Mar, 2019

Research Update: Nufarm Subordinated Step-Up Securities

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Mar 21, 2019|Bonds, Hybrids|

From a relatively benign main reporting season for corporates, we have been rather active in March as subscribers would already have noted. Most recently and following its own trading update, we provide some thought leadership on the complicated and convoluted outlook for Nufarm Subordinated Step-Up Securities for subscribers here.

7 Mar, 2019

Term Deposit Review – February 2019

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Mar 7, 2019|Deposits, Market Commentary|

Markets extended their January gains through February in a month largely dominated by reporting season news. From a rates perspective, caution was preached by both the Fed and RBA - firming their neutral stances on monetary policy. On the domestic front, the RBA further distanced itself from previous guidance, which was posturing that the next move was up rather than [...]

7 Mar, 2019

AT1 Hybrids in a Falling Interest Rate Environment

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Mar 7, 2019|Education, Hybrids|

If you have been keeping up to date with comments about and from the Reserve Bank in 2019, you have almost certainly heard speculation about a possible cash rate cut.  Though the RBA has stated that the cash rate is ‘expected to remain unchanged for a considerable period’, the February shift to a ‘more evenly balanced’ stance on any cash [...]

7 Mar, 2019

Absorbing the Possible Blow to Imputation Credits

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Mar 7, 2019|Education, Hybrids|

It would be safe to assume that popular search engines have witnessed a dramatic increase in ‘franking credits’ inquiries since the Leader of the Opposition divulged his party’s proposed changes to the scheme a year ago.  Whilst there is still water to go under the bridge on that front, the popularity of Australia’s dividend imputation system as a discussion point [...]

6 Feb, 2019

Term Deposit Review – January 2019

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Feb 6, 2019|Deposits, Market Commentary|

January proved to be a solid start for markets in 2019 as a softening in the Fed’s rhetoric and strong(ish) Australian CPI data encouraged sentiment. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced the Fed would be “patient” on any future rate changes and signalled flexibility in its balance sheet normalisation policy, which tempered volatility for the time being. Brexit and US-China trade [...]

24 Jan, 2019

How are Stocks and Bonds Correlated?

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Jan 24, 2019|Bonds|

Historically, bonds and stocks move inversely to each other, and while this hasn’t always been the case, this relationship has held in recent years. However, as with most rules, it is not without exceptions. Broad macroeconomic conditions factor into the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decisions on the RBA Official Cash Rate and affect investors’ risk appetite. Bonds and stocks [...]

6 Dec, 2018

Term Deposit Review – November 2018

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Dec 6, 2018|Deposits, Market Commentary|

An eventful month for financial markets saw initial de-risking globally with late dovish sentiment clawing markets back to an even position. Emphasised commentary centred on rates, oil, politics, leverage and earnings. APRA took centre stage with its announcement of TLAC reforms which we discussed in detail in our November 2018 Monthly Market Review.  We view the reforms as credit positive [...]

21 Nov, 2018

What Causes Bond Market Illiquidity?

By |2021-09-24T10:43:36+10:00Nov 21, 2018|Bonds|

Liquidity is an important consideration for any investor, whether it be in equities, fixed income or alternative asset classes. Liquidity is the degree to which an asset or security can be readily bought or sold at a mutually agreeable market price, and this visible by the trading volume of a given security, with a higher level of trading activity leading [...]